Friday, February 24, 2012

Analysis of Third Day of 2012 MWC Swimming & Diving Championships

There were six finals today at the 2012 Mountain West Swimming & Diving Championships in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.


Heading into today, San Diego State had a slight lead over Boise State, and we indicated that Boise State should jump back on top.  However, two swimmers who were projected to get big points for Boise State in the 200-yard freestyle did not enter in the race, scoring points elsewhere for the team.  Two swimmers projected to score big for Boise State in the 100-yard backstroke also did not enter.  So factor that in but the projected points from the six finals were:


Boise State 260
San Diego State 203


Boise State scored 211 points today to 204 for San Diego State, so a net gain of 50 for the Aztecs.  Because of this, SD State once again is the favorite to win tomorrow.  The Broncos scored points in other events to do well there, but only scored 29 in the 200-free and just 15 in the 100-yard backstroke.





1.  Boise State 506 (510 projected) -4
2.  San Diego State 503 (478 projected) +25
3.  UNLV 379.5
4.  Wyoming 302
5.  TCU 238
6.  New Mexico 232
7.  Colorado State 204
8.  Air Force 129


As it stands now, San Diego State will win by 50 points.  The Broncos were ahead of projections because they sent their 200-yard freestyle and 100-yard backstroke swimmers to other events.  They did well there, but did not enter the latter two events and 95 projected points in the 200 free and 100 backstroke of course weren't there and Boise State scored 44 points instead.


Still seven finals tomorrow and anything can still happen, but at this point it appears like a great effort by the Bronco swimmers will come up short.

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