Boise State Drops From 20-24 in Unofficial BCS Standings

We have the Coaches Poll this morning and the AP Poll as well, which has proven to be a good approximation of what the Harris Poll will look like when it is released.  We also have the Sagarin and Billingsley computer ratings for this week, two of the six computers used by the BCS in determining their rankings.  Further, the Colley Ratings, one of my favorites, are now relevant for the first time this year.  This means that there has been enough football played to make their methodology work.  Here then is the Blue Through and Through Unofficial BCS Standings* for Week Five:

1.    Alabama 99.80% + 100.00% + ((24 + 25 + 22 = 71) x 4/3 = 94.67) = 294.47
2.    Oregon 95.12% + 95.33% + ((17 + 23 + 13 = 53) x 4/3 = 70.67) = 261.12
3.    LSU 89.97% + 87.33% + ((25 + 24 + 12 = 61) x 4/3 = 81.33) = 258.63
4.    Georgia 83.19% + 83.47% + ((22 + 19 + 18 = 59) x 4/3 = 78.67) = 245.33
5.    Florida State 88.20% + 89.93% + ((16 + 13 + 21 = 50) x 4/3 = 66.67) = 244.80
6.    South Carolina 78.71% + 76.80% + ((19 + 22 + 20 = 61) x 4/3 = 81.33) = 236.84
7.    Notre Dame 62.03% + 69.53% + ((20 + 21 + 24 = 65) x 4/3 = 86.67) = 218.23
8.    Kansas State 71.19% + 74.87% + ((14 + 20 + 19 = 53) x 4/3 = 70.67) = 216.73
9.    West Virginia 77.08% + 71.07% + ((11 + 18 + 14 = 43) x 4/3 = 57.33) = 205.48
10.  Florida 59.86% + 62.47% + ((23 + 0 + 23 = 46) x 4/3 = 61.33) = 183.66
11.  Texas 66.51% + 62.13% + ((18 + 6 + 15 = 39) x 4/3 = 52.00) = 180.64
12.  Oregon State 30.71% + 43.13% + ((15 + 17 + 25 = 57) x 4/3 = 76.00) = 149.84
13.  TCU 50.78% + 40.53% + ((10 + 15 + 4 = 29) x 4/3 = 38.67) = 129.98
14.  USC 53.15% + 46.87% + ((0 + 16 + 0 = 16) x 4/3 = 21.33) = 121.35
15.  Stanford 30.64% + 33.93% + ((12 + 11 + 10 = 33) x 4/3 = 44.00) = 108.57
16.  Oklahoma 46.37% + 38.73% + ((5 + 9 + 0 = 14) x 4/3 = 18.67) = 103.77
17.  Clemson 42.55% + 40.53% + ((6 + 5 + 1 = 12) x 4/3 = 16.00) = 99.08
18.  Louisville 35.53% + 26.93% + ((0 + 0 + 9 = 9) x 4/3 = 12.00) = 74.46
19.  Mississippi State 28.61% + 20.40% + ((3 + 0 + 11 = 14) x 4/3 = 18.67) = 67.68
20.  Texas Tech 7.32% + 2.60% + ((13 + 3 + 16 = 32) x 4/3 = 42.67) = 52.59
21.  Nebraska 28.14% + 16.00% + ((0 + 0 + 0 = 0) x 4/3 = 0.00) = 44.14
22.  Washington 4.41% + 10.60% + ((8 + 12 + 0 = 20) x 4/3 = 26.67) = 41.68
23.  Rutgers 17.63% + 10.67% + ((4 + 2 + 3 = 9) x 4/3 = 12.00 = 40.30
24.  Boise State 5.63% + 3.53% + ((7 + 14 + 0 = 21) x 4/3 = 28.00) = 37.16
25.  Northwestern 13.69% + 9.53% + ((0 + 0 + 8 = 8) x 4/3 = 10.67) = 30.89



26.  Cincinnati 11.86% + 4.80% + ((0 + 1 + 5 = 6) x 4/3 = 8.00) = 24.66
27.  Louisiana Tech 3.80% + 2.47% + ((0 + 0 + 7 = 7) x 4/3 = 9.33) = 15.60
28.  Baylor 2.78% + 2.07% + ((0 + 8 + 0 = 8) x 4/3 = 10.67) = 15.52
29.  UCLA 3.93% + 8.13% + ((0 + 0 + 2 = 2) x 4/3 = 2.67) = 14.73
30.  Michigan State 3.05% + 2.87% + ((2 + 4 + 0 = 6) x 4/3 = 8.00) = 13.92
31.  Michigan .75% + 2.53% + ((0 + 7 + 0 = 7) x 4/3 = 9.33) = 12.61
32.  Missouri 0.00% + 0.00% + ((9 + 0 + 0 = 9) x 4/3 = 12.00) = 12.00
33.  Ohio .75% + 2.00% + ((0 + 0 + 6 = 6) x 4/3 = 8.00) = 10.75
34.  Texas A&M 4.14% + 3.40% + ((0 + 0 + 0 = 0) x 4/3 = 0.00) = 7.54
35.  Arizona State 2.71% + 1.00% + ((0 + 0 + 0 = 0) x 4/3 = 0.00) = 3.71
36.  Miami of Florida 1.15% + .27% + ((1 + 0 + 0 = 1) x 4/3 = 1.33) = 2.75

Boise State #31 in Colley

http://www.colleyrankings.com/currank.html

AP College Football Poll Percentages

Here are the percentages for this morning's college football AP Poll:


1.    Alabama (100.00%)
2.    Oregon 95.33%
3.    Florida State 89.93%
4.    LSU 87.33%
5.    Georgia 83.47%
6.    South Carolina 76.80%
7.    Kansas State 74.87%
8.    West Virginia 71.07%
9.    Notre Dame 69.53%
10.  Florida 62.47%
11.  Texas 62.13%
12.  Ohio State 52.87%
13.  USC 46.87%
14.  Oregon State 43.13%
15.  Clemson 40.53%
15.  TCU 40.53%
17.  Oklahoma 38.73%
18.  Stanford 33.93%
19.  Louisville 26.93%
20.  Mississippi State 20.40%%
21.  Nebraska 16.00%
22.  Rutgers 10.67%
23.  Washington 10.60%
24.  Northwestern 9.53%
25.  UCLA 8.13%

26.  Cincinnati 4.80%
27.  Boise State 3.53%
28.  Texas A&M 3.40%
29.  Michigan State 2.87%
30.  Texas Tech 2.60%
31.  Michigan 2.53&%
32.  Louisiana Tech 2.47%
33.  Baylor 2.07%
34.  Ohio 2.00%
35.  Arizona State 1.00%

Coaches Poll Percentages

Blue Through and Through will always focus on the sports that are doing the best.  If Boise State's soccer and volleyball teams are nationally-ranked, we'll go in depth for them as well.  Here are the Coaches Poll Percentages:

1.    Alabama 99.80%
2.    Oregon 95.12%
3.    LSU 89.97%
4.    Florida State 88.20%
5.    Georgia 83.19%
6.    South Carolina 78.71%
7.    West Virginia 77.08%
8.    Kansas State 71.19%
9.    Texas 66.51%
10.  Notre Dame 62.03%
11.  Florida 59.86%
12.  USC 53.15%
13.  TCU 50.78%
14.  Oklahoma 46.37%
15.  Clemson 42.44%
16.  Louisville 35.53%
17.  Oregon State 30.71%
18.  Stanford 30.64%
19.  Mississippi State 28.61%
20.  Nebraska 28.14%
21.  Rutgers 17.63%
22.  Northwestern 13.69%
23.  Cincinnati 11.86%
24.  Texas Tech 7.32%
25.  Boise State 5.63%

26.  Washington 4.41%
27.  Texas A&M 4.14%
28.  UCLA 3.93%
29.  Louisiana Tech 3.80%
30.  Michigan State 3.05%
31.  Baylor 2.78%
32.  Arizona State 2.71%
33.  Miami of Florida 1.15%
34.  Michigan .75%
34.  Ohio .75%

Boise State Moves Up to #25 in Coaches Poll

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/polls/coaches-poll/

Boise State Holds On to Beat New Mexico

This 2012 Boise State football team keeps finding ways to win.  New Mexico, for all its improvement, made every play it needed to make except one in a 32-29 Bronco victory in Albuquerque last night.  Only a Tommy Smith knockdown of a fourth-down pass with two minutes remaining prevented New Mexico from winning this game.

"I've been preaching this forever," Boise State coach Chris Petersen said. "You never let a team off the hook. I will give all credit to New Mexico; they took advantage and made plays. It was hard and we fumbled and they capitalized. It can change fast and I hope this team learns that."

The Lobs had forced Boise State into a 44-yard field-goal attempt that hit the crossbar, enabling New Mexico to take over on their 27.  Petersen opted to go for the field goal, knowing that New Mexico's kicker was money and was a good threat to tie the game.  The Broncos toughened up on three running plays to force a fourth-and-4.  B.R. Holbrook fired a pass for Lamaar Smith, but he didn't see linebacker Smith, who batted the ball away, and Boise State ran out the clock.

It was a classic tale of first halves, one in which Boise State converted three Lobo fumbles into scores in a 25-0 halftime lead; one in which New Mexico converted two Bronco fumbles into touchdowns in dominating the second half 29-7.  And it was a stark contrast to Boise State's last victory, a hard-fought 7-6 decision over BYU in which the offense did not score a touchdown and the defense constantly kept the high-flying Cougars at bay.  This time, Robert Prince's Bronco offense scored in five of six red-zone opportunities, while the defense was mystified by New Mexico's new triple-option.

Bronco quarterback Joe Southwick was 24-34 for 311 yards and three touchdowns on his journey towards becoming a solid college football quarterback.  Southwick seemed to get out of his habit of locking in on his receivers, often going to his second and third options.  

Meanwhile, the Bronco running game enjoyed its best performance of the season, as senior D.J. Harper gained 98 yards and freshman Jay Ajayi had 118 yards and a touchdown on six carries.  Ajayi had a 61-yard run in the first half to set up his touchdown, and another long run that took him into Lobo territory as the clock ran out in the first half.

New Mexico coach Bob Davie, who is making his return to coaching after 10 years in the ESPN booth, has his team playing with emotion and confidence.  The Lobos have already matched last year's win total.  Last season, New Mexico lost in Boise, 45-0.

New Mexico quarterback Cole Gautsche scored two touchdowns and a two-point conversion, gaining 71 yards on 11 carries.  Kasey Carrier picked up 86 yards on 18 carries with a touchdown, as the ground-oriented Lobos ran for 324 yards.

"That's what's so difficult about their offense," Boise State nose guard Mike Atkinson said. "They have so many options. They run the triple-option offense and a lot of teams don't do that anymore so it's really hard to pick up their schemes."

Two fumbles by Carrier led to scoring drives in the first half.  The first was at the Lobo 43 and five plays later, Southwick connected with Chris Potter for a 10-yard TD pass in which Potter showed surprising strength in overpowering his man, then tip-toed down the sideline to put Boise State ahead 10-0.  On the ensuing possession, New Mexico drove down the field before Carrier's fumble on the Boise State 19.  Three Ajayi rushes took the Broncos 81 yards for another score.

But the second half was the opposite of the first.  On the opening kickoff, freshman Dallas Burroughs fumbled at the 26 and Jhurell Presley completed the short drive for six with a three-yard run that made it 25-7.  Carrier added a five-yard scoring run later in the quarter.

Southwick led the Broncos down the field on what proved to be the winning touchdown.  At the Lobo 8, he noted a cushion for quick freshman receiver Shane Williams-Rhodes, who juked his defender, then scampered into the end zone untouched to make it 32-14.  But Williams-Rhodes's fumble at the 48 on Boise State's next possession breathed life into the already excited New Mexico team and home crowd.  Joe Stoner picked up the loose ball and rambled all the way to the 1, where Gautsche took it in to cut the Bronco lead to 32-29 with 7:42 left.  

Thus, Boise State survived by the skin of their teeth, and hopefully, yet more lessons were learned by this young Bronco team.  Boise State is now 3-1 on the season and heads into Hattiesburg, Mississippi, the site of last night's swimming meet in which upstart Southern Mississippi nearly upset Louisville.  In a game marked by heavy rain and huge puddles covering the field, the Golden Eagles had the Cardinals on the ropes the entire game until late in the fourth quarter.  A poor punt gave Louisville excellent field position, and they took it in to win 21-17.