Saturday, December 3, 2011

Final Official Sagarin Ratings

1.    LSU
2.    Alabama
3.    Oklahoma State
4.    Arkansas
5.    Kansas State
6.    Oklahoma
7.    Baylor
8.    South Carolina
9.    Oregon
10.  Stanford
11.  Georgia
12.  Boise State
13.  Texas
14.  USC
15.  Auburn
16.  Missouri
17.  Texas A&M
18.  Clemson
19.  TCU
20.  Wisconsin
21.  Iowa State
22.  Virginia Tech
23.  Michigan
24.  Nebraska
25.  Michigan State


http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htm?loc=interstitialskip

My Late Night Call

It will be extremely close between TCU and Oklahoma for #16 and #17 in the Final BCS Standings.  If I had to pick one right now, I'd say Oklahoma is #16.


If Oklahoma State gets in championship game, Boise State likely gets left out.  If Alabama finishes second, Boise State will probably play Michigan in Sugar Bowl.

Boise State #9 in Projected Final Computer Composite


The Broncos with a slight chance at #8.


1.    LSU 25 + 25 + 25 + 25 + 25 + 25 = 100.00
2.    Oklahoma State 24 + 24 + 23 + 24 + 24 + 23 = 95.00
3.    Alabama 23 + 23 + 24 + 22 + 23 + 24 = 93.00
4.    Kansas State 21 + 18 + 21 + 23 + 22 + 21 = 85.00
5.    Stanford 22 + 22 + 20 + 21 + 19 + 16 = 82.00
6.    Arkansas 14 + 17 + 22 + 18 + 21 + 22 = 78.00
7.    Oregon 17 + 21 + 19 + 19 + 17 + 17 = 72.00
8.    Baylor 13 + 9 + 18 + 20 + 20 + 19 = 70.00
9.    Boise State 19 + 19 + 17 + 16 + 15 + 14 = 67.00
9.    South Carolina 16 + 12 + 16 + 17 + 18 + 18 = 67.00
11.  USC 18 + 20 + 15 + 14 + 14 + 12 = 61.00
12.  Oklahoma 20 + 16 + 9 + 10 + 13 + 20 = 59.00
13.  Wisconsin 9 + 14 + 14 + 12 + 6 + 6 = 41.00
14.  Michigan 15 + 8 + 8 + 15 + 8 + 3 = 39.00
15.  Georgia 10 + 6 + 6 + 7 + 16 + 15 = 38.00
16.  Clemson 8 + 10 + 13 + 7 + 12 + 8 = 37.00
17.  Virginia Tech 12 + 15 + 7 + 13 + 4 + 4 = 36.00
18.  TCU 6 + 11 + 12 + 5 + 3 + 7 = 29.00
19.  Nebraska 7 + 7 + 5 + 9 + 1 + 2 = 21.00
20.  Southern Mississippi 3 + 5 + 11 + 10 + 0 + 0 = 18.00
21.  Texas 2 + 0 + 0 + 4 + 10 + 13 = 16.00
22.  Houston 11 + 4 + 5 + 2 + 3 + 0 = 14.00
23.  Michigan State 4 + 13 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 13.00
24.  Auburn 0 + 1 + 3 + 0 + 7 + 11 = 11.00
25.  Penn State 5 + 3 + 2 + 6 + 0 + 0 = 10.00





26.  West Virginia 1 + 0 + 0 + 2 + 0 + 0 = 1.00
Missouri 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 10 = 0.00
Texas A&M 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 9 = 0.00
Iowa State 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 5 = 0.00
Tulsa 0 + 0 + 1 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 0.00
Notre Dame 0 + 2 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 0.00

Projected Final Sagarin Ratings

Sagarin is the toughest to predict, because he puts some things in that are hard to get a hold of.  Given the importance, though, I'm going to project it now.  He should be out about 4:30 or so tomorrow morning with the official ratings.  Sagarin is the only one that is allowed to release his ratings before the BCS Standings come out.  In fact, it seems like he might not be able to do it for the Final ones. When he does, I will update.


Here goes:


1.    LSU
2.    Oklahoma State
3.    Alabama
4.    Arkansas
5.    Kansas State
6.    Oregon
7.    Stanford
8.    Baylor
9.    Oklahoma
10.  South Carolina
11.  Clemson
12.  Michigan State (if they win)
13.  Missouri
14.  USC
15.  Boise State
16.  Georgia
17.  Michigan
18.  Texas A&M
19.  TCU
20.  Wisconsin (if they win)
21.  Auburn
22.  Nebraska
23.  Texas
24.  Michigan State (if they lose)
24.  Virginia Tech
25.  Penn State          

Projected Final Massey Ratings

1.    LSU
2.    Oklahoma State
3.    Alabama
4.    Kansas State
5.    Arkansas
6.    Baylor
7.    Stanford
8.    South Carolina
9.    Oregon
10.  Georgia
11.  Boise State
12.  USC
13.  Oklahoma
14.  Clemson
15.  Missouri
16.  Texas
17.  Michigan
18.  Texas A&M
19.  Auburn
20.  Wisconsin
21.  Virginia Tech
22.  Houston
23.  TCU
24.  Michigan State 
25.  Nebraska

Projected Final Anderson & Hester Ratings

1.    LSU (barely)
2.    Oklahoma State
3.    Kansas State
4.    Alabama
5.    Stanford
6.    Baylor
7.    Oregon
8.    Arkansas
9.    South Carolina
10.  Boise State
11.  Michigan
12.  USC
13.  Virginia Tech
14.  Wisconsin 
15.  Oklahoma
16.  Southern Mississippi
17.  Georgia
18.  Nebraska
19.  Clemson
20.  Penn State
21.  TCU
22.  Texas
23.  Michigan State 
24.  West Virginia
25.  Houston

Projected Final Wolfe Ratings

1.    LSU
2.    Alabama
3.    Oklahoma State
4.    Arkansas
5.    Kansas State
6.    Stanford
7.    Oregon
8.    Baylor
9.    Boise State
10.  South Carolina
11.  Michigan State (if they win)
12.  USC
13.  Wisconsin (if they win)
14.  Clemson
15.  TCU
16.  Southern Mississippi
17.  Oklahoma
18.  Michigan
19.  Virginia Tech
20.  Georgia
21.  Houston
22.  Nebraska
23.  Michigan State (if they lose)
23.  Auburn
24.  Penn State
25.  Wisconsin (if they lose)
25.  Tulsa  

Projected Final Billingsley Ratings

1.    LSU
2.    Oklahoma State
3.    Alabama
4.    Stanford
5.    Oregon
6.    USC
7.    Boise State
8.    Kansas State
9.    Arkansas
10.  Oklahoma
11.  Virginia Tech
12.  Wisconsin 
13.  Michigan State 
14.  South Carolina
15.  TCU
16.  Clemson
17.  Baylor
18.  Michigan
19.  Nebraska
20.  Georgia
21.  Southern Mississippi
22.  Houston
23.  Penn State
24.  Notre Dame
25.  Auburn  

Projected Final Colley Ratings

1.    LSU
2.    Oklahoma State (if they win)
3.    Alabama
4.    Stanford
5.    Kansas State
6.    Virginia Tech (if they win)
7.    Oklahoma
8.    Boise State
9.    USC
10.  Oregon
11.  South Carolina
12.  Michigan
13.  Arkansas
14.  Baylor
15.  Virginia Tech (if they lose)
15.  Houston
16.  Michigan State (if they win)
17.  Georgia
18.  Wisconsin (if they win)
19.  Clemson (if they win)
20.  Nebraska
21.  TCU
22.  Penn State
23.  Michigan State (if they lose)
23.  Southern Mississippi
24.  Wisconsin (if they lose)
24.  Clemson (if they lose)
24.  Texas
25.  West Virginia