It took two simulations to tell Boise State fans what they wanted to hear.
I have run two simulations of EA Sports' popular video software NCAA Football. In the past nine seasons, EA has predicted all but six Boise State games correctly. I think the majority of the missed games have been more the fault of the Boise State team and not the software.
In one simulation, Boise State won their first eight games before a 24-17 loss to TCU. The Broncos rebounded for three more wins to earn a Rose Bowl berth against Ohio State. The Broncos lost that one 47-24 to finish the season 11-2. In the second simulation, Boise State was victorious in all 12 regular season games, rising to the #1 ranking in the final week. As a result, Boise State earned a berth to the mythical BCS "national championship" game. The opponent? Oklahoma! Too much! Boise State won the game 34-31.
I will have further simulations in the days and weeks to come.