Sunday, October 23, 2011

Boise State in Statistical Tie for #4 in Unofficial BCS Standings--Week 8 Final Afternoon Projections

Lots of close races for spots this week.


We have the Coaches Poll this morning and the official Sagarin computer ratings.  The other five computers are projected and I am using the Coaches Poll percentages to approximate the Harris Poll, which will be out later.  Boise State, Stanford and Clemson are in a statistical tie for #4, with another tie for #7 between Oregon, Oklahoma and Arkansas.  Michigan State & Virginia Tech and Nebraska & South Carolina also too close to call.  Penn State & Michigan, Arizona State & Texas Tech and Cincinnati & West Virginia are in a virtual tie as well.  Remember a difference of 12 total points is the margin of error.




1.    LSU 98.78% + 99.27 + 92.00 = 290.05
2.    Alabama 97.22% + 96.59 + 94.00 = 287.81
3.    Oklahoma State 88.20% + 89.01 + 99.00 = 276.21
4.    Clemson 79.59% + 81.60 + 89.00 = 250.19
5.    Boise State 82.24% + 83.83 + 84.00 = 250.07
6.    Stanford 89.97% + 87.76 + 69.00 + 246.73
7.    Oregon 76.00 + 74.30 + 52.00 = 202.30
8.    Oklahoma 65.36% + 64.90% + 72.00 = 202.26
9.    Kansas State 56.07% + 61.36 + 79.00 = 196.43
10.  Arkansas 66.03% + 64.38% + 63.00 = 193.41
11.  Michigan State 63.19% + 61.22 + 41.00 = 165.41
12.  Virginia Tech 49.42% + 46.71 + 62.00 = 158.13
13.  Nebraska 54.10% + 52.45 + 41.00 = 147.55
14.  South Carolina 49.49% + 47.93 + 47.00 = 144.42  
15.  Wisconsin 58.78% + 60.21 + 12.00 = 130.99
16.  Houston 34.37% + 33.91 + 47.00 = 125.28
17.  Texas A&M 35.35% + 36.17% + 44.00 = 115.52
18.  Michigan 35.19% + 37.29 + 22.00 = 94.48
19.  Penn State 30.37% + 26.75 + 33.00 = 90.12
20.  Arizona State 17.15% + 18.85 + 8.00 = 44.00
21.  Texas Tech 12.20% + 14.16% + 17.00 = 43.36
22.  Texas 3.32% + 5.29 + 33.00 = 41.61
23.  Georgia 14.10% + 11.72 + 6.00 = 31.82
24.  West Virginia 10.51% + 11.48 + 0.00 = 21.99
25.  Auburn .20% + 2.09 + 17.00 = 19.29






26.  Cincinnati 10.78% + 8.31% + 0.00 = 19.09
27.  Southern Mississippi 8.68% + 4.70 + 0.00 = 13.38
28.  Georgia Tech 2.64% + 4.77 + 0.00 = 7.41
29.  TCU 2.24% + 2.89 + 0.00 = 5.13
30.  Baylor 1.97% + 2.89 + 0.00 = 4.86
31.  Illinois 1.49% + 1.77 + 0.00 = 3.26
32.  Washington 1.36% + 1.11 + 0.00 = 2.47

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