The Commissioner's Cup is given annually to the WAC school that has the best overall sports department for that school year. The standings are determined by a point system that gives inverted points to the schools based on their performance in 20 sports that the conference sponsors and how many WAC schools participate in each sport. For example, there are nine teams in football, thus the champion gets nine points, the runner-up eight points, the third-place team gets seven points, etc. If there is a tie, the two tied teams split the points for two positions, i.e. a tie for first would split the points awarded for #1 and #2 (9 + 8 = 17 divided by 2 = 8.5 each).
There are four WAC schools that are able to field men's indoor track, so the winner gets four points, #2 gets 3 points and so on. Some sports, such as gymnastics, have auxiliary members (schools that are not officially in the WAC but participate in the conference in that sport). In those cases, the auxiliary teams do not get points for the Commissioner's Cup but their places count in the point configuration. If there are five schools that compete in a sport and Sacramento State, for example, is third, the league champion still gets five points, second gets four points, and the next WAC school, the fourth-place team, gets two points. Men's and women's tennis, baseball and softball all split awarded points with half going to the regular season and half to the postseason championships.
Currently, Boise State has a slim lead (64.50 to 59.75) over Utah State. New Mexico State is third with 42.25, followed by Fresno State (41.00), Idaho (40.50), Nevada (38.75), Hawai'i (36.75), Louisiana Tech (33.00) and San Jose State (29.50).
In coming up with the projections, I use the best available data in each sport. For softball and baseball, the league standings are used. For golf, I use Golfweek's weekly ratings and for tennis I use College Tennis Online's weekly rankings. As the teams play more, the standings and weekly rankings will be more reliable. For track, I will initially use the WAC Indoor Track Championship data but will switch to projected point totals for the Outdoor Championship based on top times once there is enough data available.
Here are the projections for each sport:
Women's Golf: (April 15-17)
1. San Jose State (7 points)
2. New Mexico State (6)
3. Idaho (5)
4. Nevada (4)
5. Fresno State (3)
6. Boise State (2)
7. Hawai'i (1)
Men's Tennis: (April 27-May 1)
1. Fresno State (7)
2. Boise State (6)
3. Idaho (5)
4. Hawai'i (4)
5. New Mexico State (3)
6. Nevada (2)
7. Utah State (1)
Women's Tennis: (April 27-May 1)
1. Boise State (9 points)
2. Fresno State (8)
3. Nevada (7)
4. Hawai'i (6)
5. Idaho (5)
6. New Mexico State (4)
7. Utah State (3)
8. Louisiana Tech (2)
9. San Jose State (1)
Coach Roghaar has his team playing well
Men's Golf: (May 2-4)
1. New Mexico State (8 points)
2. Idaho (7)
3. Fresno State (6)
4. San Jose State (5)
5. Nevada (4)
6. Louisiana Tech (3)
7. Hawai'i (2)
8. Boise State (1)
Coach Kevin Burton's team hopes to improve in time for WAC Championships
Softball: (May 11-14)
1. Fresno State (8 points)
2. New Mexico State (7)
3. Hawai'i (6)
4. Boise State (5)
5. Louisiana Tech (4)
6. San Jose State (3)
7. Nevada (2)
8. Utah State (1)
Men's Track (May 10-13)
1. Utah State (5 points)
2. Fresno State (4)
3. Boise State (3)
4. Louisiana Tech (2)
5. Idaho (1)
Women's Track (May 10-13)
1. Louisiana Tech (8 points)
2. Utah State (7)
3. Nevada (6)
4. New Mexico State (5)
5. Boise State (4)
6. Fresno State (3)
7. Hawai'i (2)
8. Idaho (1)
Baseball: (May 25-29)
1. Fresno State (7 points)
2. New Mexico State (6 points)
3. San Jose State (5)
4. Louisiana Tech (4)
5. Hawai'i (3)
6. San Jose State (2)
7. Nevada (1)
I will continue to do these projections on a semi-weekly basis. As the teams get close to the championships in their respective sports, the data will get more accurate as being able to project the championship results. As of right now, here are the projections for the final Commissioner's Cup point totals:
1. Boise State 94.50
Boise State is expected to pick up most of its points in men's and women's tennis and in men's track. The Broncos are projected to score 30 points this spring--they will need to do well to hold off Fresno State. If those teams do not come through, we will have a tight race for the Cup. On the other hand, if the men's and women's golf teams do better than expected, Boise State's chances are dramatically improved.
2. Fresno State 87.00
The Bulldogs traditionally are the strongest team in the spring sports and this year should be no exception. Fresno State is expected to score 46 points in the spring alone. Fresno is projected to win men's tennis, softball and baseball and women's tennis and they are also expected to do extremely well in men's track and men's golf. If one or more of those teams do not come through, Fresno could relinquish the challenger's role to New Mexico State. All those teams have to do well and Fresno State has to hope that the key Boise State sports falter for the Bulldogs to take the Cup.
Fresno State will once again provide the closest challenge to Boise State
3. New Mexico State 81.25
The Aggies outdual Boise State for having the second best spring sports program to Fresno State, scoring 39 points. The Aggies' best hope is to finish strong in their strengths and hope that their men's and women's tennis teams and women's track team can finish high while Boise State slips up somewhere.
4. Utah State 76.75
USU does fairly well in the spring but they aren't able to field a team in baseball, men's golf or women's golf. Until they are able to fund those programs, Utah State will never have a serious chance of winning an overall competition. Utah State is projected to score just 17 points this spring. They could possibly finish third if everything goes right.
5. Nevada 64.75
Nevada has been a challenger nearly every year in the Commissioner's Cup. However, poor fall programs hurt their chances severely. They finished near the bottom in women's cross country, soccer and volleyball. The only reason they are this high is because of their football, basketball and swimming programs. Nevada is projected to score 26 points in the spring.
6. Hawai'i 60.75
Hawai'i is expected to do the best in men's and women's tennis and softball. UH should score in the neighborhood of 24 points this spring. That's a good total, but they are too far down to climb all the way to the top.
7. Idaho 59.00
The Vandals have been in the middle of the pack for the last several years. Idaho will get most of their points in men's and women's golf and men's tennis. Idaho should get about 18.5 points this spring. They will fight for positions 5-8.
8. Louisiana Tech 56.00
Louisiana Tech has climbed out of the cellar in the Cup race and will score around 23 points this spring. They probably won't get higher than #7, but they have a shot at that.
9. San Jose State 50.50
The Spartans are the favorite in women's golf and they should also do well in baseball. San Jose State is projected to score 21 points this spring.
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