Sunday, May 5, 2013

MWC Softball Tiebreakers

If two teams finish the season with the same conference records, of course, head-to-head will decide the league champion.  And that will be easy since each team plays every other league team three times.

San Diego State would win head-to-head tiebreakers with Nevada and Fresno State but would lose to Boise State.  The Aztecs and Colorado State are playing their third game today which would decide their tiebreaker.  Nevada holds an advantage should they wind up in a two-way tie with Colorado State, but would lose tiebreakers with both San Diego State and Fresno State.  Nevada and Boise State meet next weekend for three.  Fresno State owns tiebreakers with Boise State and Nevada while Colorado State owns the tiebreaker over Fresno State but would lose to Nevada and Boise State.

If three or more teams finish in a first-place tie, then you go to the record amongst the tied teams.

If there is a four-way tie between San Diego State, Boise State, Fresno State and Colorado State, Fresno State is 5-4 against the other three teams.  Colorado State and San Diego State are both 4-4 with their one game left against each other while Boise State is 4-5. This would eliminate Boise State and the competition would be between Fresno State and the winner of the nightcap between CSU and San Diego State.  Fresno lost both series, so the winner in this tiebreaker would be the winner of the San Diego State-Colorado State game this afternoon. 

If the season ends in a three-way tie between Colorado State, San Diego State and Boise State, Boise State would be 4-2 against the other two teams and would win the tiebreaker.

If the three-way tie is between San Diego State, Colorado State and Fresno State, Fresno State has a 2-4 record against the other two.  The winner of this tiebreaker would also be the winner of today's game between SD State and CSU.

If the three-way tie were between San Diego State, Boise State and Fresno State, Fresno State would win the tiebreaker with a 4-2 record against the other two.  San Diego State would be 3-3 and Boise State 2-4.

If the three-way tie were between Fresno State, Boise State and Colorado State, Fresno State would win the tiebreaker by virtue of a 4-2 record against the other two.  CSU would be 3-3 and Boise State 2-4.

So it's pretty obvious that Boise State's chances amount to this:  they must win all four games and either wind up in a two-way tie with San Diego State or Colorado State or a three-way tie with San Diego State and Colorado State.  Thus, Fresno State has to lose and cannot be in a tiebreaker with Boise State for the Broncos to emerge the winners.

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