In the first post regarding NCAA simulations, I told you that out of two simulations, Boise State won the national championship. That told you it was possible. After six more simulations, you begin to see the odds. It took six more times before the 2011 Broncos were able to win the BCS "national championship", making it now 2 out of 8. That's probably fairly realistic. We all saw last year how truly hard it is to go undefeated and I can tell you now that after observing the early results, there are a lot more pitfalls along the way.
TCU is going to be especially tough, even at home. In eight simulations, Boise State has also lost to Nevada, Georgia, Tulsa and San Diego State. one time. I'll summarize these at the end of the summer but you probably want to know the circumstances of Boise State's second national championship run. They start out ranked #8 by EA/Sports. In this simulation, they beat Georgia 49-22, beat Toledo 38-10, beat Tulsa 29-24, beat Nevada 42-17, beat Fresno State 48-20, beat Colorado State on the road 31-3, beat Air Force 34-24, beat UNLV 35-0, beat #5 TCU 45-17, beat San Diego State 35-13, beat Wyoming 59-3 at home and then beat New Mexico 59-7 to finish the season ranked #2. The Broncos met Texas A& M in the championship and prevailed 28-25.
More results as they come in...
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