Sunday, November 11, 2012
Friday, November 9, 2012
Bronco Volleyball Team Wins Fourth Straight in Victory Over Nevada
The surging Boise State volleyball team captured its fourth straight win by sweep last night as the Lady Broncos downed Nevada 25-19, 25-17, 25-19 in Reno.
All three sets were close until the Broncos pulled away. Alyssa Gammel led Boise State with 13 kills while Taylor Murphey had 11 and Fiona Jones 9. Boise State is now 15-12 overall and 6-5 in Mountain West Conference play. The Broncos take on San Diego State Saturday night. |
Friday, November 2, 2012
Basketball Double-Header Tonight
The Boise State men's and women's basketball teams begin their seasons tonight with exhibition games in Taco Bell Arena. The Bronco women host Lewis & Clark State at 5:30, followed by the men's game with Saint Martin. Good luck to the Bronco hoopsters!
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Nevada Scores at 84:50
Not much time left for Boise State to get the equalizer. The Lady Broncos beat Nevada just one week ago, but none of that means anything now.
Boise State and Nevada Scoreless
We have no goals after 82 minutes of play between Boise State and Nevada in the Mountain West conference Soccer Tournament.
Boise State Soccer Team Opens Tournament Play Against Nevada
The Boise State soccer team has one last chance to win a Mountain West title, and they'll begin that quest today against Nevada in the opening round of the conference tournament. Action gets underway at 5 p.m.
Sunday, October 21, 2012
Boise State #19 in Projected BCS Standings
The BCS Standings are actually fascinating to watch if you know what to look for; it's really too bad they are shelving the computers in favor of a backroom committee. The system in two years will be far less transparent and far less enjoyable for fans to follow.
One thing to look for is the difference in the three components. Naturally, the two polls pretty much mirror each other because humans are prone to emotion and thus built-in biases. But if a team is ranked right, all three components will match up rather nicely. So when you see numbers beside a team like Florida State, you can easily spot that something is amiss. Numbers that different mean that at least one of those components and more likely two are dreadfully off. If Florida State is truly a Top 10 team, they would have to play about three more ranked teams to bring that computer rating up when the truth is, they have at most one (Clemson) on their schedule. You will also note that that same team, Clemson, has zero computer points (They did get rated in one of the six computers.)
What this means is that Florida State is being artificially propped up by the voters when they haven't played a schedule deserving of a high ranking. Their schedule strength will go up as they sift through the ACC, but it won't approach Top 10 in the computers. Often what will happen is the team ranked too high will lose somewhere down the road, bringing the human polls more in line with the computers. And, the computer rating will go up somewhat (as long as they keep winning) to get closer to the polls.
Obviously if some teams are overrated you will have the exact opposite situation for other teams. Case in point--Rutgers, which is #10 in the computers but much lower in the polls. Rutgers has played a much-more worthy schedule in the tough Big East than either of the two ACC teams. It doesn't mean they'll finish the season higher--they still have to win, but again it points out that something has to give. Another such example is Texas Tech.
These projections are slightly different than the early morning projections, and differences of less than 12 points reflects the margin of error, so the official BCS Standings will deviate somewhat from the projections shown below. They are simply meant to give you an idea what the official Standings look like.
1. Alabama 100.00% + 99.76% + 91.00 = 290.76
2. Florida 90.10% + 91.20% + 99.00 = 280.30
3. Kansas State 89.90% + 89.43% + 94.00 = 273.33
4. Oregon 95.12% + 94.85% + 72.00 = 261.97
5. Notre Dame 82.78% + 82.57% + 93.00 = 258.35
6. LSU 78.92% + 78.96% + 72.00 = 239.88
7. Oregon State 66.03% + 69.60% + 83.00 = 218.63
8. Oklahoma 73.49% + 70.30% + 62.00 = 205.79
9. USC 68.75% + 67.27% + 45.00 = 181.02
10. Georgia 57.63% + 55.76% + 49.00 = 162.39
11. Mississippi State 54.24% + 55.72% + 50.00 = 159.96
12. Rutgers 43.19% + 41.91% + 68.00 = 153.10
13. Texas Tech 38.71% + 37.36% + 74.00 = 150.07
14. Florida State 64.27% + 66.47% + 8.00 = 138.74
15. Louisville 48.81% + 46.05% + 35.00 = 129.86
16. South Carolina 40.54% + 41.36% + 45.00 = 126.90
17. Stanford 27.19% + 32.31% + 51.00 = 110.50
18. Clemson 53.42% + 54.33% + 0.00 = 107.75
19. Boise State 27.59% + 26.50% + 27.00 = 81.09
20. Michigan 17.90% + 17.04% + 18.00 = 52.94
21. Texas A&M 15.53% + 16.17% + 11.00 = 42.70
22. Texas 7.39% + 8.24% + 25.00 = 40.63
23. West Virginia 11.73% + 12.63% + 17.00 = 41.36
24. Ohio 8.95% + 10.19% + 15.00 = 34.14
25. Wisconsin 7.05% + 4.73% + 9.00 = 20.78
26. Louisiana Tech 6.78% + 4.42% + 3.00 = 14.20
27. TCU 4.81% + 6.78% + 0.00 = 11.59
28. Nebraska 4.81% + 4.45% + 0.00 = 9.26
29. Cincinnati 3.46% + 4.03% + 0.00 = 7.49
30. Oklahoma State 2.51% + 2.50% + 0.00 = 5.01
31. Toledo 2.03% + 1.53% + 6.00 = 9.56
32. Northern Illinois .95% + .24% + 2.00 = 3.19
33. Arizona 0.00% + 0.00% + 3.00 = 3.00
34. Tulsa 1.42% + 1.36% + 0.00 = 2.78
35. Arizona State 1.42% + 1.29% + 0.00 = 2.71
36. Duke 1.08% + .35% + 0.00 = 1.43
One thing to look for is the difference in the three components. Naturally, the two polls pretty much mirror each other because humans are prone to emotion and thus built-in biases. But if a team is ranked right, all three components will match up rather nicely. So when you see numbers beside a team like Florida State, you can easily spot that something is amiss. Numbers that different mean that at least one of those components and more likely two are dreadfully off. If Florida State is truly a Top 10 team, they would have to play about three more ranked teams to bring that computer rating up when the truth is, they have at most one (Clemson) on their schedule. You will also note that that same team, Clemson, has zero computer points (They did get rated in one of the six computers.)
What this means is that Florida State is being artificially propped up by the voters when they haven't played a schedule deserving of a high ranking. Their schedule strength will go up as they sift through the ACC, but it won't approach Top 10 in the computers. Often what will happen is the team ranked too high will lose somewhere down the road, bringing the human polls more in line with the computers. And, the computer rating will go up somewhat (as long as they keep winning) to get closer to the polls.
Obviously if some teams are overrated you will have the exact opposite situation for other teams. Case in point--Rutgers, which is #10 in the computers but much lower in the polls. Rutgers has played a much-more worthy schedule in the tough Big East than either of the two ACC teams. It doesn't mean they'll finish the season higher--they still have to win, but again it points out that something has to give. Another such example is Texas Tech.
These projections are slightly different than the early morning projections, and differences of less than 12 points reflects the margin of error, so the official BCS Standings will deviate somewhat from the projections shown below. They are simply meant to give you an idea what the official Standings look like.
1. Alabama 100.00% + 99.76% + 91.00 = 290.76
2. Florida 90.10% + 91.20% + 99.00 = 280.30
3. Kansas State 89.90% + 89.43% + 94.00 = 273.33
4. Oregon 95.12% + 94.85% + 72.00 = 261.97
5. Notre Dame 82.78% + 82.57% + 93.00 = 258.35
6. LSU 78.92% + 78.96% + 72.00 = 239.88
7. Oregon State 66.03% + 69.60% + 83.00 = 218.63
8. Oklahoma 73.49% + 70.30% + 62.00 = 205.79
9. USC 68.75% + 67.27% + 45.00 = 181.02
10. Georgia 57.63% + 55.76% + 49.00 = 162.39
11. Mississippi State 54.24% + 55.72% + 50.00 = 159.96
12. Rutgers 43.19% + 41.91% + 68.00 = 153.10
13. Texas Tech 38.71% + 37.36% + 74.00 = 150.07
14. Florida State 64.27% + 66.47% + 8.00 = 138.74
15. Louisville 48.81% + 46.05% + 35.00 = 129.86
16. South Carolina 40.54% + 41.36% + 45.00 = 126.90
17. Stanford 27.19% + 32.31% + 51.00 = 110.50
18. Clemson 53.42% + 54.33% + 0.00 = 107.75
19. Boise State 27.59% + 26.50% + 27.00 = 81.09
20. Michigan 17.90% + 17.04% + 18.00 = 52.94
21. Texas A&M 15.53% + 16.17% + 11.00 = 42.70
22. Texas 7.39% + 8.24% + 25.00 = 40.63
23. West Virginia 11.73% + 12.63% + 17.00 = 41.36
24. Ohio 8.95% + 10.19% + 15.00 = 34.14
25. Wisconsin 7.05% + 4.73% + 9.00 = 20.78
26. Louisiana Tech 6.78% + 4.42% + 3.00 = 14.20
27. TCU 4.81% + 6.78% + 0.00 = 11.59
28. Nebraska 4.81% + 4.45% + 0.00 = 9.26
29. Cincinnati 3.46% + 4.03% + 0.00 = 7.49
30. Oklahoma State 2.51% + 2.50% + 0.00 = 5.01
31. Toledo 2.03% + 1.53% + 6.00 = 9.56
32. Northern Illinois .95% + .24% + 2.00 = 3.19
33. Arizona 0.00% + 0.00% + 3.00 = 3.00
34. Tulsa 1.42% + 1.36% + 0.00 = 2.78
35. Arizona State 1.42% + 1.29% + 0.00 = 2.71
36. Duke 1.08% + .35% + 0.00 = 1.43
Sunday, October 14, 2012
Boise State Officially #22 in BCS Standings
As Blue Through and Through posted this morning, Boise State is #22 in the Official BCS Standings, although those who didn't read this blog didn't know that until just now on ESPN. Know before millions of people who have to withstand watching ESPN--check out this web site regularly!
Boise State #22 in Projected BCS Standings
Three things to watch:
1) The race for the top "non-BCS", which Boise State finally won't have to put up with next year. Currently, Boise State is #22, Ohio is #25 and Louisiana Tech #32.
2) The race between Boise State and Michigan. Currently, Boise State is #22 and Michigan is #24.
3) The race between Boise State and the top ACC team. Right now, voters have artificially propped up both Florida State and Clemson. Note the huge discrepancy between both of the poll percentages and the Computer Composite for both Florida State and Clemson. At least one of those numbers is way, way off and as the season progresses, the three numbers will come towards each other. Currently, Florida State is #14, Clemson is #18 and Boise State #22.
1. Alabama 100.00% + 100.00% + 92.00 = 292.00
2. Florida 87.93% + 90.73% + 93.50 = 272.16
3. Oregon 95.86% + 95.73% + 77.00 = 268.59
4. Notre Dame 84.81% + 85.53% + 95.50 = 265.86
5. Kansas State 88.61% + 86.40% + 82.00 = 257.01
6. LSU 79.93% + 76.87% + 78.00 = 234.80
7. South Carolina 68.61% + 69.47% + 69.50 = 207.58
8. Oregon State 56.88% + 70.00% + 79.50 = 206.38
9. Oklahoma 69.22% + 66.27% + 60.00 = 195.49
10. USC 67.46% + 58.27% + 48.00 = 173.73
11. Georgia 54.64% + 50.20% + 51.00 = 155.84
12. Mississippi State 45.49% + 39.40% + 42.50 = 127.39
13. West Virginia 45.90% + 36.80% + 41.00 = 123.70
14. Florida State 62.31% + 55.73% + 4.00 = 122.04
15. Louisville 47.12% + 38.27% + 25.50 = 110.89
16. Rutgers 33.56% + 27.00% + 44.50 = 105.06
17. Texas Tech 18.58% + 29.60% + 52.50 = 100.68
18. Clemson 50.24% + 44.87% + 2.00 = 97.11
19. Texas A&M 26.92% + 25.27% + 36.50 = 88.69
20. Cincinnati 30.92% + 19.60% + 24.00 = 74.52
21. Stanford 14.58% + 16.13% + 40.00 = 70.71
22. Boise State 18.37% + 8.87% + 35.00 = 62.24
23. TCU 18.44% + 5.87% + 11.50 = 35.81
24. Michigan 6.51% + 11.80% + 7.50 = 25.81
25. Ohio 3.66% + 6.93% + 5.00 = 15.59
26. Arizona State 9.02% + 6.13% + 0.00 = 15.15
27. Texas 3.66% + 1.67% + 8.50 = 13.83
28. Northwestern 5.22% + .40% + 1.50 = 7.12
29. Western Kentucky .41% + 0.00 + 4.50 = 4.91
30. Washington 0.00% + .40% + 4.00 = 4.40
31. Louisiana Tech 1.63% + 2.53% + 0.00 = 4.16
1) The race for the top "non-BCS", which Boise State finally won't have to put up with next year. Currently, Boise State is #22, Ohio is #25 and Louisiana Tech #32.
2) The race between Boise State and Michigan. Currently, Boise State is #22 and Michigan is #24.
3) The race between Boise State and the top ACC team. Right now, voters have artificially propped up both Florida State and Clemson. Note the huge discrepancy between both of the poll percentages and the Computer Composite for both Florida State and Clemson. At least one of those numbers is way, way off and as the season progresses, the three numbers will come towards each other. Currently, Florida State is #14, Clemson is #18 and Boise State #22.
1. Alabama 100.00% + 100.00% + 92.00 = 292.00
2. Florida 87.93% + 90.73% + 93.50 = 272.16
3. Oregon 95.86% + 95.73% + 77.00 = 268.59
4. Notre Dame 84.81% + 85.53% + 95.50 = 265.86
5. Kansas State 88.61% + 86.40% + 82.00 = 257.01
6. LSU 79.93% + 76.87% + 78.00 = 234.80
7. South Carolina 68.61% + 69.47% + 69.50 = 207.58
8. Oregon State 56.88% + 70.00% + 79.50 = 206.38
9. Oklahoma 69.22% + 66.27% + 60.00 = 195.49
10. USC 67.46% + 58.27% + 48.00 = 173.73
11. Georgia 54.64% + 50.20% + 51.00 = 155.84
12. Mississippi State 45.49% + 39.40% + 42.50 = 127.39
13. West Virginia 45.90% + 36.80% + 41.00 = 123.70
14. Florida State 62.31% + 55.73% + 4.00 = 122.04
15. Louisville 47.12% + 38.27% + 25.50 = 110.89
16. Rutgers 33.56% + 27.00% + 44.50 = 105.06
17. Texas Tech 18.58% + 29.60% + 52.50 = 100.68
18. Clemson 50.24% + 44.87% + 2.00 = 97.11
19. Texas A&M 26.92% + 25.27% + 36.50 = 88.69
20. Cincinnati 30.92% + 19.60% + 24.00 = 74.52
21. Stanford 14.58% + 16.13% + 40.00 = 70.71
22. Boise State 18.37% + 8.87% + 35.00 = 62.24
23. TCU 18.44% + 5.87% + 11.50 = 35.81
24. Michigan 6.51% + 11.80% + 7.50 = 25.81
25. Ohio 3.66% + 6.93% + 5.00 = 15.59
26. Arizona State 9.02% + 6.13% + 0.00 = 15.15
27. Texas 3.66% + 1.67% + 8.50 = 13.83
28. Northwestern 5.22% + .40% + 1.50 = 7.12
29. Western Kentucky .41% + 0.00 + 4.50 = 4.91
30. Washington 0.00% + .40% + 4.00 = 4.40
31. Louisiana Tech 1.63% + 2.53% + 0.00 = 4.16
Boise State Moves Up to #19 in Projected Computer Composite
Two of the six computer ratings that the BCS uses to compute its BCS Standings have not released reports yet this year. They are Wolfe and Anderson/Hester, and they will release their first ratings tonight when the Official BCS Standings are unveiled. So the following projected Computer Composite only takes into account Sagarin, Billingsley, Colley and Massey, the four that have released ratings on their web sites. The Sagarin ratings are official; the other three are projected based on last week's ratings, this week's results, and historical treatment of those results.
(You will notice that the #1 team in the Computer Composite is the same team that has been #1 in Blue Through and Through's Top 25 College Football Teams since Week Two.)
NOTE: Ohio State is ineligible for the BCS Standings because of NCAA infractions.
1. Notre Dame (22 + 23 + 25 + 25 =) 95 + (48*2 = 96)/2 = 95.5
2. Florida (24 + 19 + 24 + 24 =) 91 + (48*2 = 96)/2 = 93.5
3. Alabama (25 + 25 + 21 + 21 =) 92 + (46*2 = 92)/2 = 92.0
4. Ohio State (21 + 23 + 23 + 22 =) 89 + (45*2 = 90)/2 = 89.5
5. Kansas State (23 + 22 + 19 + 18 =) 82 + (41*2 = 82)/2 = 82.0
6. Oregon State (18 + 16 + 22 + 23 =) 79 + (40*2 = 80)/2 = 79.5
7. LSU (20 + 21 + 15 + 20 =) 76 + (40*2 = 80)/2 = 78.0
8. Oregon (19 + 24 + 19 + 18 =) 80 + (37*2 = 74)/2 = 77.0
9. South Carolina (16 + 18 + 18 + 17 =) 69 + (35*2 = 70)/2 = 69.5
10. Oklahoma (17 + 17 + 10 + 14 =) 58 + (31*2 = 62)/2 = 60.0
11. Texas Tech (4 + 13 + 17 + 15 =) 49 + (28*2 = 56)/2 = 52.5
12. Georgia (11 + 12 + 13 + 16 =) 52 + 25*2 = 50)/2 = 51.0
13. USC (15 + 20 + 7 + 8 =) 50 + (23*2 = 46)/2 = 48.0
14. Rutgers (14 + 6 + 11 + 12 =) 43 + (23*2 = 46)/2 = 44.5
15. Mississippi State (12 + 0 + 16 + 11 =) 39 + (23*2 = 46)/2 = 42.5
16. West Virginia (8 + 7 + 12 + 13 =) 40 + (21*2 = 42)/2 = 41.0
17. Stanford (9 + 11 + 14 + 6 =) 40 + (20*2 = 40)/2 = 40.0
18. Texas A&M (13 + 3 + 9 + 10 =) 35 + (19*2 = 38)/2 = 36.5
19. Boise State (7 + 14 + 5 + 7 =) 33 + (14*2 = 28)/2 = 30.5
20. Louisville (6 + 0 + 8 + 9 =) 23 + (14*2 = 28)/2 = 25.5
21. Cincinnati (10 + 5 + 6 + 5 =) 26 + (11*2 = 22)/2 = 24.0
22. TCU (3 + 10 + 1 + 1 =) 15 + (4*2 = 8)/2 = 11.5
23. Texas (5 + 0 + 0 + 4 =) 9 + (4*2 = 8)/2 = 8.5
24. Michigan (0 + 9 + 0 + 2 =) 11 + (2*2 = 4)/2 = 7.5
25. Ohio (1 + 1 + 4 + 0 =) 6 + (2*2 = 4)/2 = 5.0
26. Western Kentucky (0 + 0 + 2 + 3 =) 5 + (2*2 = 4)/2 = 4.5
27. Florida State (2 + 2 + 0 + 0 =) 4 + (2*2 = 4)/2 = 4.0
27. Washington (0 + 8 + 0 + 0 =) 8 + (0*2 = 0)/2 = 4.0
29. Clemson (0 + 4 + 0 + 0 =) 4 + (0*2 = 0)/2 = 2.0
30. Northwestern (0 + 0 + 3 + 0) = 3 + (0*2 = 0)/2 = 1.5
Projected Massey Ratings
1. Notre Dame
2. Florida
3. Oregon State
4. Ohio State
5. Alabama
6. LSU
7. Kansas State
8. Oregon
9. South Carolina
10. Georgia
11. Texas Tech
12. Oklahoma
13. West Virginia
14. Rutgers
15. Mississippi State
16. Texas A&M
17. Louisville
18. USC
19. Boise State
20. Stanford
21. Cincinnati
22. Texas
23. Western Kentucky
24. Michigan
25. TCU
2. Florida
3. Oregon State
4. Ohio State
5. Alabama
6. LSU
7. Kansas State
8. Oregon
9. South Carolina
10. Georgia
11. Texas Tech
12. Oklahoma
13. West Virginia
14. Rutgers
15. Mississippi State
16. Texas A&M
17. Louisville
18. USC
19. Boise State
20. Stanford
21. Cincinnati
22. Texas
23. Western Kentucky
24. Michigan
25. TCU
Boise State #21 in Projected Colley Ratings
1. Notre Dame
2. Florida
3. Ohio State
4. Oregon State
5. Alabama
6. Kansas State
7. Oregon
8. South Carolina
9. Texas Tech
10. Mississippi State
11. LSU
12. Stanford
13. Georgia
14. West Virginia
15. Rutgers
16. Oklahoma
17. Texas A&M
18. Louisville
19. USC
20. Cincinnati
21. Boise State
22. Ohio
23. Northwestern
24. Western Kentucky
25. TCU
Projected Billingsley Ratings
With tonight being the release of the Official BCS Standings, although Blue Through and Through has been letting you known those standings since Week 2, all of the computers except Sagarin will release their ratings at 6 p.m. tonight. Therefore, as in years past, to determine the Projected BCS Standings before they are announced, we need to also first project the computer ratings:
1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. Notre Dame
4. Kansas State
5. LSU
6. USC
7. Florida
8. South Carolina
9. Oklahoma
10. Oregon State
11. Ohio State
12. Boise State
13. Texas Tech
14. Georgia
15. Stanford
16. TCU
17. Michigan
18. Washington
19. West Virginia
20. Rutgers
21. Cincinnati
22. Clemson
23. Texas A&M
24. Florida State
25. Ohio
Boise State #19 in Sagarin
1--1. Alabama
2--2. Florida
7--3. Kansas State
5--4. Notre Dame
3--5. Ohio State
9--6. LSU
6--7. Oregon
12--8. Oregon State
15--9. Oklahoma
4-10. South Carolina
11-11. USC
16-12. Rutgers
18-13. Texas A&M
20-14. Mississippi State
13-15. Georgia
19-16. Cincinnati
10-17. Stanford
8-18. West Virginia
17-19. Boise State
----20. Louisville
14-21. Texas
----22. Texas Tech
----23. TCU
23-24. Florida State
----25. Ohio
http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Bronco Volleyball Team in Action Tonight
The Boise State volleyball team faces a key Mountain West Conference game tonight when the Lady Broncos host San Diego State. Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. in Bronco Gym.
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