NCAA Wrestling Final Score Projections

These were drawn up prior to the tournament.  I'm  going to add in the deviation from today to get the final numbers.  As a result of the performances by Kurt Swartz, Matt Casperson and Kirk Smith, Boise State is now projected to slip behind Wisconsin and they have allowed American to pass them as well making Boise State 7th.

1.  Cornell 96
2.  Penn State 85.5
3.  Iowa 77
4.  Oklahoma State 72
5.  Wisconsin 57
6.  American 56
7.  Boise State 55.5
8.  Minnesota 52.5
9.  Lehigh 49
10.  Arizona State 41.5
11.  Nebraska 41
12.  Rutgers 40
13.  Michigan 37
14.  Iowa State 29
14.  Oklahoma 29
16.  Virginia Tech 27.5
17.  Pittsburgh 26.5
27.  Wyoming 26.5
19.  Edinboro 25
20.  Central Michigan 24.5
20.  Oregon State 24.5
22.  Missouri 23.5
23.  Hofstra 23
24.  Virginia 21.5
25.  Maryland 19.5
26.  Illinois 17.5
27.  Old Dominion 16.5

NCAA Wrestling Fourth Session Projections

1.  Cornell 44
2.  Iowa 38.5
3.  Oklahoma State 38.5
4.  Penn State 37.5
5.  Minnesota 32
6.  Boise State 25.5
7.  American 24
7.  Nebraska 24
9.  Rutgers 22.5
10.  Wisconsin 21
11.  Arizona State 19
11.  Lehigh 19
13.  Kent State 18
13.  Michigan 18
13.  Oregon State 18
16.  Missouri 17.5
16.  Oklahoma 17.5
16.  Wyoming 17.5
19.  Maryland 16
20.  Hofstra 15.5
20.  Virginia Tech 15.5

NCAA Wrestling Third Session Projections

Projections made before the tournament have been adjusted for the deviation in today's results.

1.  Cornell 42.5
2.  Penn State 36.5
3.  Iowa 33
3.  Oklahoma State 33
5.  Minnesota 29.5
6.  Boise State 27
7.  Wisconsin 22.5
8.  American 22
8.  Nebraska 22
10.  Arizona State 19.5
11.  Rutgers 18
12.  Lehigh 17.5
13.  Oklahoma 16
13.  Michigan 16
13.  Oregon State 16
16.  Hofstra 15.5
16.  Missouri 15.5
18.  Wyoming 14
19.  Virginia 13
20.  Maryland 12
20.  Pittsburgh 12

Pac-10 Wrestling Runners-Up Doing Better than Boise State

Arizona State and Oregon State, bested by Boise State at the Pac-10 Wrestling Championships, are both performing better than expected while Boise State is down a few points and Arizona State actually leads the Broncos in team points.

That has to end first thing tomorrow.

Reminder--Here are First Day Wrestling Projections

These can be compared against the actual results below to gauge which teams are doing the best relative to their strength going into the championships.

1.  Cornell 33.5
2.  Iowa   33.0
3.  Penn State 27.5
4.  Oklahoma State 26.5
5.  Minnesota 24.5
6.  Boise State 22.0
7.  Nebraska 18.0
8.  Rutgers 16.5
9.  Lehigh 15.0
9.  Wisconsin 15.0
11.  Missouri 14.0
12.  American 13.5
13.  Virginia Tech 13.0
14.  Arizona State 12.5
14.  Hofstra 12.5
14.  Oklahoma 12.5
17.  Virginia 11.5
18.  Oregon State 11.0
18.  Pittsburgh 11.0
20.  Illinois 10.5

Actual Results:

1.  Penn State 30.5  (+3)

2.  Cornell 29 (-4.5)

3.  Iowa 25 (-8)

3.  Oklahoma State 25 (-1.5)

5.  American 23.5 (+10)

6.  Arizona State 21 (+8.5)

7.  Wisconsin 20 (+5)

8.  Boise State 19.5 (-2.5)

9.  Minnesota 19 (+5.5)

10.  Nebraska 18.5 (+.5)

11.  Lehigh 18 (+3)

11.  Michigan 18 (+11)

11.  Rutgers 18 (+1.5)

14.  Oregon State 16.5 (+5.5)

15.  Kent State 16 (+7)

16.  Missouri 15.5 (+1.5)

17.  Oklahoma 15 (+2.5)

17.  Wyoming 15 (+7)

19.  Maryland 14 (+8)

19.  Pittsburgh 14 (+3)

21.  Hofstra 13 (+.5)

21.  Virginia Tech 13 (even)

Boise State 8th in 2011 NCAA Wrestling Division I Team Standings After 2nd (Second) Session

1.  Penn State 30.5
2.  Cornell 29
3.  Iowa 25
3.  Oklahoma State 25
5.  American 23.5
6.  Arizona State 21
7.  Wisconsin 20
8.  Boise State 19.5
9.  Minnesota 19
10.  Nebraska 18.5
11.  Lehigh 18
11.  Michigan 18
11.  Rutgers 18
14.  Oregon State 16.5
15.  Kent State 16
16.  Missouri 15.5
17.  Oklahoma 15
17.  Wyoming 15
19.  Maryland 14
19.  Pittsburgh 14
21.  Hofstra 13
21.  Virginia Tech 13

2011 NCAA Wrestling Schedule

Session 2 today beginning at 4:30 p.m. Mountain Time
Session 3 tomorrow at 8:30 a.m.
Session 4 tomorrow night at 5 Mountain Time
Session 5 (Finals) Saturday at 9 a.m. Mountain Time

NCAA Wrestling Team Scores After One Session

1.  Penn State 20
2.  Iowa 18
3.  Cornell 16.5
4.  Wisconsin 15
5.  Minnesota 14
5.  Oklahoma State 4
7.  Nebraska 13.5
8.  Lehigh 13
8.  Virginia Tech 13
10.  Boise State 12
10.  Rutgers 10
12.  Indiana 9
13.  Michigan 8
13.  Oklahoma 8
13.  Pittsburgh 8
13.  Purdue 8

Boise State was projected to get 15 points, so they are 6 points behind.  If they can make that up, they should finish in the top ten.

J.T. Felix 2011 NCAA Wrestling Progression

Lost 3-2 to Dominique Bradley of Missouri in the first round.
He downed Paul Snyder of Hofstra  3-2 in consolation.
Felix lost to Ricardo Alcala of Indiana 4-2 in overtime and is eliminated.

Matt Casperson 197 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Lost 10-2 to Zac Thomusseit of Pittsburgh in the opening round.
Casperson has defaulted his second match.  He is now out of the tournament.

Kirk Smith Forfeits

Smith has forfeited his opening round match.

(I had Smith winning one match so Boise State loses a point.)

Upsets at 2011 NCAA Wrestling Championships

Three of them at 175.

Janssen of Iowa, Bailey of Oklahoma State and Toal of Missouri all lost.

A couple more at heavyweight.  Keep track of the favorites in consolation--if they lose another, their teams will suffer.

Russo of Rutgers and Tomei of Pittsburgh both lost at 285.

Jake Swartz 174 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Jacob won 8-2 over Matt Fullowan of Franklin & Marshall in the opening round.
He lost to Colby Covington of Oregon State 8-2 tonight.
Jake came from behind for an exciting 7-5 win over Rob Morrison of Rutgers.
Swartz lost to Mike Benefiel of Oklahoma State (a team Boise State is fighting for fifth place) 7-2 to end his run.

Kurt Swartz 165 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Lost to Josh Asper 14-3 in the first round.

lost to unranked Joe Booth of Drexel 8-3  in wrestlebacks.  Mr. Swartz bows out of the tournament.

Adam Hall 157 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Hall won a tough 4-1 decision over Cornell's DJ Meager.
Hall closes out Colton Salazar of Purdue 6-2.
The tentative Hall loses to #8 Jason Welch of Northwestern 3-1.  don't want to try to win a match in the last minute, especially if you're #1.

Hall wins an 11-3 major against Edinboro's Johnny Greisheimer.

Hall, down 10-4, pins #11 Walter Peppelman of Harvard to guarantee him All-America status.

He lost to #2 Steve Fittery of American 5-0 in a match he had to win for Boise State to finish fifth.  Hall will now wrestle #8 Jason Welch again for fifth place.

Hall got payback with a 5-1 win over Welch this time.  Good way to end the tournament.

Jason Chamberlain 149 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Chamberlain defeated Dane Johnson 12-4 in a major decision to score 3 points for Boise State.
He came from a 3-0 deficit to force overtime late in the the third, then escapes with a 6-4 win over unranked Lehigh's Joseph Napoli, an upset winner over the #11 seed Andrew Nadhir of Northwestern.

Chamberlain beat #3 Kevin LeValley of Bucknell 4-3 to guarantee himself All-America status.

Chamberlain lost to #2 seed Frank Molinaro of Penn State 4-1.

He defeated Jamaal Parks of Oklahoma State 3-1 in the consolation semis.

Chamberlain defeated American's Gabayar Sanjaa 3-0 in the third-place match.  American is a team Boise State was chasing and Jason did his part.

Levi Jones 141 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Jones defeated Hicks Manson of Cornell 9-3 in the pigtail and gets a point.
Bad news--Jones lost by fall to Matthew Bonson of Lockhaven in the opening round.
Jones beat Andrew Schutt of Buffalo 6-3 tonight.
Jones lost 12-4 to #9 Cole VonOhlen of Air Force in consolation and is eliminated.

(I had Jones winning first two matches so he has lost the Broncos 1 point.)

Andrew Hochstrasser 133 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Hochstrasser pined Nathan McCormick of Missouri and gets 4 points for Boise State.

Beat Kevin Smith of Buffalo by technical fall .  Those bonus points are so important.  Tha is worth 2 1/2 points.

Hoch got riding time at the end, just enough points to get a major over #7 Bernard Futrell of Illinois 10-2 to advance to the semifinals.  Hochstrasser is assured All-America status.

Hochstrasser defeated #3 seed Andrew Long of Penn State 6-4.

He meets #1 Jordan Oliver in the championship match tomorrow afternoon.

Alan Bartelli 125 Pounds NCAA Wrestling Progression

Lost to #8 seed Jarrod Patterson of Oklahoma State 2-1 in the opening round.

Beat Camden Eppert of Purdue 3-0 in the 3rd of a pigtail match.

Bartelli gets his upset over #8 Jonathon Morrison of Oklahoma State 5-3 in consolation.
He is eliminated by Joseph Langel of Rutgers 9-6, disappointing not only for Alan but for Boise State, since Rutgers is chasing them in the standings.

NCAA Wrestling Second Session Projections

The second session tonight includes second round and consolation matches.  For projections of first-round scores, scroll down the page to see that story.

1.  Cornell 33.5
2.  Iowa   33.0
3.  Penn State 27.5
4.  Oklahoma State 26.5
5.  Minnesota 24.5
6.  Boise State 22.0
7.  Nebraska 18.0
8.  Rutgers 16.5
9.  Lehigh 15.0
9.  Wisconsin 15.0
11.  Missouri 14.0
12.  American 13.5
13.  Virginia Tech 13.0
14.  Arizona State 12.5
14.  Hofstra 12.5
14.  Oklahoma 12.5
17.  Virginia 11.5
18.  Oregon State 11.0
18.  Pittsburgh 11.0
20.  Illinois 10.5