Friday, August 5, 2011

Boise State 7th in Sagarin

Boise State opened the season #7 in the initial Sagarin ratings.  Alabama tops the list, followed by Oregon, Ohio State, #4 TCU, Oklahoma, Florida, the Broncos, LSU at #8, Virginia Tech and #10 USC. 

Georgia, which tests the Broncos on September 3rd, opens the season #25 in Sagarin.

For those wondering how a computer rating can be published without any games being played, Sagarin uses his final ratings from last season and applies it to this year.  As to how the "national champion" Auburn could start out #11, I'm trying to get that answered right now.  I'll report back on what I find.

An Eye Into the Hurricane

Well, we will certainly know right away how good the 2011 Tulsa football team is.  The Golden Hurricane travel the short distance to Norman for a game with #1 Oklahoma on September 3.

This game has all kinds of implications for Boise State, and the Broncos would seem to benefit no matter what the result.  First it's great that Tulsa, among the favorites to win Conference-USA, has scheduled the #1 team in the land.  That game, not to mention a meeting with Boise State, on paper appears to give Tulsa a solid strength of schedule.  Once Boise State plays Tulsa, the Broncos will see the benefit of that, at least in the computer ratings.  If Tulsa is able to win that game (and admittedly it would be a huge upset), the Golden Hurricane will thrust themselves into the battle for the top-AQ team in the nation, along with Boise State and TCU.  And that will also boost the Tulsa SOS further.  Not only that, but a Sooner loss on opening day would just about cripple their national championship hopes and, if Boise State beats Georgia as they are favored to do.

                          G.J. Kinne leads the Hurricane into Norman

If Oklahoma wins, as expected, Tulsa will still get a strong SOS provided Oklahoma is as good as advertised.  Plus, it would mean one less non AQ that Boise State has to contend with in the race for a BCS Bowl.  Any non-AQ that isn't ranked in the third poll of the season has zero chance of making a BCS Bowl.  What it will do is give Boise State fans a very good idea how good the 2011 Tulsa team is.

Of course this game means nothing to Boise State on a national perspective unless they can play four solid quarters of football against Georgia, and four solid quarters against all other 11 teams on their schedule.  They don't give out trophies to teams that lose a big lead in the second half.

Boucher Qualifies for Third Event at United States Olympic Trials

Boise State senior swimmer Amber Boucher swam a fast 57.09 leg in the 400-meter freestyle relay Wednesday night at the 2011 National Championships to qualify for the upcoming U.S. Olympic Trials.  IT is the third event in which Boucher has qualified.

Boucher has also qualified in the 50-meter freestyle and 100-meter butterfly.  Teammate Stephanie North also will swim in the Olympic Trials in the 100-meter freestyle.

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Records Within Reach for Boise State Football Players

These are the career records that are within reach for current Boise State players:

Tyler Shoemaker needs 57 receptions to tie Rodney Smith and Sheldon Forehand on the career receptions list.  "Shoe" currently has 60.

Doug Martin needs 72 carries to tie Terry Zahner for 10th in career rushing attempts.  He needs 10 rushing TD's to tie Cedric Minter for career rushing touchdowns, and Martin needs 902 rushing yards to tie Rodney Webster for fifth on the all-time list. 

Kellen Moore needs three 300-yard passing games to tie Ryan Dinwiddie for the school record.  Moore has 11 currently.  Moore needs two 400-yard passing games and one 500-yard passing game to tie Dinwiddie for those career marks.

George Iloka needs five interceptions (he currently has seven) to tie Anthony Brown & Clint Sigman for 10th all-time.

Aaron Tevis (six career interceptions) needs six more to tie for 10th.

Shea McClellin (20.5 tackles for loss) needs 7.5 to tie Korey Hall & Bryan Johnson with 28 career tackles for loss for 10th place.  McClellin (13.5 career sacks) needs 1.5 to tie Colt Brooks and his coach, Pete Kwiatkowski for 10th all-time.

Billy Winn (27.5 career tackles for loss) needs .5 to tie Hall & Johnson for 10th all-time.  Winn, who has 12.5 sacks, needs 2.5 to tie Brooks & Kwiatkowski for 10th.

Tyrone Crawford (13.5 tackles for loss) needs 14.5 this year to tie Korey Hall & Bryan Johnson for 10th all-time.  Crawford needs eight sacks to tie Colt Brooks and his coach, Pete Kwiatkowski, for 10th all-time.

Walk-On's at Boise State

Of course the biggest news was revealed in yesterday's article previewing the Boise State running backs.  Malcolm Johnson, who led the nation in rushing in high school (6,975 yards in his career), is back with the Broncos after a year at Mt. Hood Community College. 

Running back Zach Keiser from Coeur d'Alene High School, fullback Jamal Wilson from Fontana, California, wie receiver Cory Brehm of Granite Bay, California, defensive lineman Beau Martin of Lakewood, Colorado, linebacker Mitchell McCarthy of Shingleton, California and long snapper Dakota Shackleton of Danville, California have all joined the team. 

We can now also answer the grayshirt question--according to sources tight end Hayden Plinke of Hillsboro, Oregon is the only Bronco that will grayshirt.  Now we get down to the question of which members of the 2011 recruiting class will redshirt and which will play. 

Boise State #7 in Preseason USA Today Coaches Football Poll; Oklahoma #1

The Coaches kept Boise State at 7, while moving Alabama, LSU and Florida State ahead of them.  Two 2011 Boise State opponents--#15 TCU and #22 Georgia are ranked.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/college/football/usatpoll.htm

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

2011 Boise State Preview: Bronco Running Backs

If Boise State's running backs can stay healthy, something that hasn't occurred for three years, the team should have one of its finest backfields ever.






Of course, a statement like that has to be qualified given the rash of injuries that have occurred to D.J. Harper and others in recent years.  Doug Martin (5-9, 215) returns and that is good news if the backs are to take pressure off of quarterback Kellen Moore.  The senior from Stockton, California had 760 yards and 15 touchdowns in part-time duty as a sophomore and 1,260 yards last season, the sixth highest total ever in Boise, with 12 more TD's thrown in.  Since the top two wide receivers in school history (Austin Pettis and Titus Young) are now playing for NFL teams, Martin and his cohorts need to shoulder a good deal of responsibility this fall.  Martin sits in ninth place on the Bronco career rushing list and is just 40 yards behind Jon Francis.  But Martin will be going up against much tougher defenses beginning against Georgia and continuing through the Mountain West Conference season.





Harper (5-9, 210, Sr.) has shown flashes of brilliance, including the incredible 71-yard run for a touchdown against #10 Virginia Tech in last year's season opener.  If he's on the field, opponents will do well to keep an eye on him at all times--Harper has a 5.4 yards-per-carry career average carrying the football. 

Blue Through and Through has learned that Malcolm Johnson, originally suspended from the team two years ago due to academic issues, has apparently gotten all that worked out and has rejoined the team as a walk-on.  Johnson ran for 6,975 yards in high school and averaged over 200 yards a game as a senior. 





Jay Ajayi appears to be one of the finest recruits Boise State has had at running back.  Coach Chris Petersen hasn't declared yet if Ajayi will greyshirt or not--that may depend on the health of Harper and the progress of Johnson.  But I know another thing and that is that Petersen wants to even out the recruiting classes.  Given that just four seniors graduated in 2009, that would point to a lot of 2011 recruits playing as true freshmen.  If there's one that seems ready, it would be Ajayi.  Ajayi ran for 1,600 yards as a junior and 2,200 yards and 36 scores last season in earning Parade All-America honors.  Drew Wright ran well last year and the Vallivue High School product is more than capable of sharing the load.  Raphael Lambert (5-7, 210, Jr.) has made the conversion from the defensive side of the ball and will provide depth.

Zach Keiser from Coeur d'Alene High School is one of several walk-ons to join the team for fall practice, another is fullback Jamal Wilson from Fontana, California.





Fullback Dan Paul won't get a lot of press, but if the 2011 Boise State backs are successful, he will be a major reason why.  Paul (6-0, 250), is like another lineman out there and he can also catch. 

Boise State's Petersen Is Good At Sidestepping Land Mines

So the leading question on Dan Patrick's show this morning to Boise State head football coach was:

"Finish this sentence.  If we beat Georgia, _____________."

Petersen:  "An hour later, we'll be preparing for our next game."

Practice Begins Tomorrow!

It's not the start of the season but it's the next best thing, the beginning of fall football practice.  This is when we find out out if the Bronco players have been resting on their laurels or are working harder than ever before to avoid a repeat of last year.  Specifically, how much did the loss to Nevada get under their skin and are they working that much harder to get better?

I'll have complete details on how the camp is progressing and feature position articles as well.  Good luck Boise State!  May this be a camp full of hard work, progress, listening to your coaches, and an injury-free summer.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Tickets to Boise State-Georgia Will Be Mailed Out This Week

I have received word that the University of Georgia will be mailing out tickets to the Boise State game this week.  In Boise, because of the distance involved, the tickets will likely arrive in Boise-area mailboxes next week.

Kickoff for the Chick-Fil-A game is set for September 3 in the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Georga.

Directv Will Add "The Mountain" Network to All Basic Packages

Satelite TV giant Directv has begun adding "The Mountain" channel to all of its basic packages.  This is significant in that Boise State is now an official member of the Mountain West Conference and all conference games are televised by The Mountain.

Directv has added the channl (616) to its basic "Choice" package and all other packages.  Bronco fans will not need the Sports Pack to view Bronco football and basketball games.  The company is implementing the change at this time and will be finished in time for football season.

Monday, August 1, 2011

Fifth Simulation Shows What We Want to Know

There are three main questions surrounding how people think Boise State will fare this season:


1.  What are the odds Boise State goes undefeated with their tough schedule?
2.  What are the odds Boise State will play for its first-ever "national championship" (in major college)?
3.  What are Boise State's chances of actually winning a national championship?


These are going to be three different probabilities of course, and I'll be able to give you those odds later in the month.  I have done 29 simulations of EA Sports' NCAA Football thus far and am well on the way to reaching 100 simulations, being as this is just August 1.


The good news is that Boise State just finished a simulation as the "national champions".  This software is something I believe in--the EA Sports people do their homework and build in hundreds of factors into their software each year.  In this particular simulation, Boise State was able to beat Georgia 47-20, beat Toledo 38-10, got by Tulsa 45-31 (which looks like one of the toughest games of the year), downed Nevada 27-13, beat Fresno State 38-17, squeaked by Colorado State 38-31, blanked Air Force 30-0, downed UNLV 45-14, got by TCU 43-10, defeated San Diego State 41-22, blanked Wyoming 51-0 and beat New Mexico 38-3 to finish the regular season 12-0.


The Broncos were ranked #2 and faced Oklahoma State in the title game.  Boise State won that game 45-42.  It was the fifth simulation that produced a Boise State "national championship", and pretty much confirms my earlier guess that the odds were about 1-6 (or 5 in 29) that Boise State could buck the odds and actually win the thing.


Many more details coming up later in the month.

Week 12 SFL Schedule

The playoff field for the Simulation Football League playoffs is nearly set.  The 2009 Boise State and 2001 Miami of Florida teams have wrapped up division titles.  In the Boise State Division, the 2010 Broncos can clinch a berth with either a win or a loss by the 2006 Fiesta Bowl team.  The 2010 Boise State beat the '06 Broncos 41-7 four weeks ago. 


In the Championship Division, USC can clinch a playoff berth unless they lose and Texas wins.  The two are tied for second place but USC owns the tiebreaker with a victory over the Longhorns one week ago.


  
2006 Boise State vs. 2009 Boise State
2008 Boise State vs. 2010 Boise State
2001 Boise State vs. 2004 Boise State
2002 Boise State vs. 2005 Boise State


2003 Boise State vs. 2008 Florida
2007 Boise State vs. 2003 LSU


2001 Miami of Florida vs. 2009 Alabama
2002 Ohio State vs. 2005 Texas
2004 USC vs. 2007 LSU
2006 Florida vs. 2010 Auburn

Sunday, July 31, 2011

SImulation Football League--Week 11 Statistics

Here are the statistical leaders after 11 weeks of play in the Simulation Football League:                        
   
   

Rushing:
1.    Ian Johnson, 2006 Boise State (287-1,558 and 18 TD's)
2.    Doug Martin, 2010  Boise State (238-1,542 and 13 TD's)
3.    Clinton Portis, 2001 Miami FL (263-1,456 and 15 TD's)
4.    Mark Ingram, 2009 Alabama (261-1,446 and 10 TD's)
5.    Jeremy Avery, 2009 Boise State (219-1,365 and 20 TD's)
6.    Brock Forsey, 2001 Boise State (268-1,322 and 17 TD's)
7.    Brock Forsey, 2002 Boise State (303-1,247 and 15 TD's)
8.    Ian Johnson, 2007 Boise State (219-1,190 and 13 TD's)
9.   Jacob Hester, 2007 LSU (247-1,171 and 9 TD's)
10.  Maurice Clarett, 2002 Ohio State (246-1,117 and 9 TD's)
11.  Justin Vincent, 2003 LSU (170-1,041 and 13 TD's)
12.  Jamaal Charles, 2005 Texas (169-1,036 and 10 TD's)
13.  Lee Marks, 2004 Boise State (227-1,015 and 11 TD's)
14.  LenDale White, 2004 USC (202-959 and 14 TD's)
15.   Michael Dyer 2010 Auburn (161-949 and 4 TD's)




Moore has taken over the top two spots

Passing:
1.    Kellen Moore, 2010 Boise State 268-393 for 3,656 yards and 35 TD's vs. 6 INT
2.    Kellen Moore, 2009 Boise State 273-421 for 3,744 yards and 29 TD's vs. 3 INT
3.    Matt Leinart, 2004 USC 267-389 for 3,560 yards and 20 TD’s vs. 4 INT
4.    Ryan Dinwiddie, 2003 Boise State 251-380 for 3,599 yards and 30 TD’s vs. 11 INT
5.    Kellen Moore, 2008 Boise State 263-387 for 3,428 yards and 29 TD's vs. 14 INT
6.    Ryan Dinwiddie, 2002 Boise State 242-356 for 3,102 yards and 25 TD's vs. 10 INT
7.    Ken Dorsey, 2001 Miami FL 258-428 for 3,620 and 18 TD’s vs. 10 INT
8.    Taylor Tharp, 2007 Boise State 259-427 for 3,176 yards and 19 TD's vs. 13 INT
9.    Ryan Dinwiddie, 2001 Boise State 224-366 for 3,050 yards and 13 TD’s vs. 8 INT
10.  Chris Leak, 2006 Florida 228-361 for 2,784 yards and 17 TD's vs. 14 INT





Receiving:
1.      Jeremy Childs, 2007 Boise State (74-835 and 3 TD's)
2.      Jeremy Childs, 2008 Boise State (69-746 and 10 TD’s)
3.      Early Doucet, 2007 LSU (66-779 and 1 TD)
4.      Michael Clayton, 2003 LSU (63-740 and 2 TD's)
5.      Titus Young, 2009 Boise State (59-863 and 7 TD's)
6.      Titus Young, 2010 Boise State (56-818 and 12 TD's)
7.      Austin Pettis, 2009 Boise State (53-782 and 5 TD's)
8.      Austin Pettis, 2010 Boise State (52-662 and 4 TD's)
8.      Tim Gilligan, 2003 Boise State (52-825 and 6 TD’s)
10.     Ethenic Sands, 2001 Miami FL (49-847 and 5 TD’s)
10.     Billy Wingfield, 2002 Boise State (49-856 and 4 TD’s)
10.    Steve Smith, 2004 USC (49-710 and 4 TD's)
13.    Dominique Byrd, 2004 USC (45-568 and 1 TD)
14.    Jemalle Cornelius, 2006 Florida (44-650 and 3 TD's)
15.    Michael Jenkins, 2002 Ohio State (43-760 and 3 TD's)
15.    Percy Harvin, 2006 Florida (43-631 and 4 TD's)
17.    Dwayne Jarrett, 2004 USC (41-500 and 3 TD's)
17.    Jay Swillie, 2001 Boise State (41-497 and 6 TD's)
19.    Legedu Naanee, 2006 Boise State (40-646 and 7 TD's)
20.    T.J. Acree, 2003 Boise State (38-422 and 4 TD's)
20.    Kyle Efaw, 2009 Boise State (38-419 and 3 TD's)
20.    Jeb Putzier, 2001 Boise State (38-481 and 3 TD's)


Interceptions:
1.    Gabe Franklin, 2002 Boise State (7)
2.    Phillip Buchanon, 2001 Miami FL (5)
2.    Korey Hall, 2006 Boise State (5)
2.    Marty Tadman, 2005 Boise State (5)
5.    Gabe Franklin, 2001 Boise State (4)
5.    Kyle Wilson, 2008 Boise State (4)
7.    Gabe Franklin, 2003 Boise State (3)
7.    Matt Grootegoed, 2004 USC (3)
7.    Quinton Jones, 2006 Boise State (3)
7.  Wes Nurse, 2001 Boise State (3)
7.    Ryan Smith, 2006 Florida (3)
7.    Brandon Spikes, 2008 Florida (3)
13.  Chris Carr, 2003 Boise State (2)
13.  Dustin Fox, 2002 Ohio State (2)
13.  Gabe Franklin, 2004 Boise State (2)
13.  Robby Green, 2009 Alabama (2)
13.  Michael Griffin, 2005 Texas (2)
13.  George Iloka, 2008 Boise State (2)
13.  Jeron Johnson, 2009 Boise State (2)
13.  Reggie Nelson, 2006 Florida (2)
13.  Gerald Alexander, 2004 Boise State (2)
13.  Edward Reed, 2001 Miami of Florida (2)
13.  Orlando Scandrick, 2007 Boise State (2)
13.  Marty Tadman, 2006 Boise State (2)
13.  Kyle Wilson, 2007 Boise State (2)
13.  Kyle Wilson, 2009 Boise State (2)


                                 
Sacks:
1.    Darrell McClover, 2001 Miami (7)
1.    Maurice Sikes, 2001 Miami FL (7)
3.    Brad Allen, 2002 Boise State (5)
3.    Darrion Scott, 2001 Ohio State(5)
5.    Edward Reed, 2001 Miami (4)
5.    John Square, 2001 Miami of Florida (4)
7.    Chauncey Ako, 2002 Boise State (3)
7.    Collin Ashton, 2004 USC (3)
7.    Deshan Cabaong, 2004 Boise State (3)
7.    Mike Dominguez, 2004 Boise State (3)
7.    Javier Estopinoan, 2008 Florida (3)
7.    Dee Ford, 2010 Auburn (3)
7.    Alex Guerrero, 2003 Boise State (3)
7.    Lawrence Jackson, 2004 USC (3)
7.    Jason Leach, 2004 USC (3)
7.    James Lewis, 2001 Miami (3)
7.    Kameron Merritt, 2001 Boise State (3)
7.    Darryon Robinson, 2006 Florida (3)
7.    Frostee Rucker, 2004 USC (3)
7.    Nick Schlekeway, 2005 Boise State (3)
7.    Austin Smith, 2005 Boise State (3)
7.    Sione Tavake, 2007 Boise State (3)
7.    Aaron Tevis, 2009 Boise State (3)
7.    Cameron Vaughn, 2003 LSU (3)
7.    Ryan Winterswyk, 2009 Boise State (3)
7.    Anthony Zehyoue, 2007 LSU (3)
7.    Billy Wynn, 2009 Boise State (3)





Field Goals:
1.    Kyle Brotzman, 2009 Boise State (35)
1.    Leigh Tiffin, 2009 Alabama (35)
3.    Todd Sievers, 2001 Miami FL (30)
4.    Tyler Jones, 2004 Boise State (29)
5.    Mike Nugent, 2002 Ohio State (28)
6.    Colt David, 2007 LSU (23)
7.    Jonathan Phillips, 2008 Florida (21)
8.    Nick Calaycay, 2002 Boise State (20)
8.    David Pino, 2005 Texas (20)
10.  Kyle Brotzman, 2007 Boise State (18)
10.  Kyle Brotzman, 2010 Boise State (18)
10.  Ryan Killeen, 2004 USC (18)
10.  Chris Hetland, 2006 Florida (18)



                 Brotzman kicked seven field goals last week to take over scoring lead

Scoring:
1.    Kyle Brotzman, 2009 Boise State (154)
2.    Jeremy Avery, 2009 Boise State (144)
3.    Leigh Tiffin, 2009 Alabama (138)
4.    Todd Sievers, 2001 Miami FL (131)
5.    Ian Johnson, 2006 Boise State (126)
6.    Tyler Jones, 2004 Boise State (122)
7.    Brock Forsey, 2001 Boise State (108)
8.    Jonathan Phillips, 2008 Florida (107)
9.    Kyle Brotzman, 2010 Boise State (105)
10.  David Pino, 2005 Texas (104)
11.  Ian Johnson, 2007 Boise State (102)
11.  LenDale White, 2004 USC (102)
13.  Mike Nugent, 2002 Ohio State (101)
14.  Ryan Killeen, 2004 USC (100)
15.  Brock Forsey, 2002 Boise State (98)
15.  Clinton Portis, 2001 Miami of Florida (98)
17.   Doug Martin, 2010 Boise State (96)
18   Nick Calaycay, 2002 Boise State (92)
19.  Tyler Jones, 2003 Boise State (88)
20.  Anthony Montgomery, 2006 Boise State (87)
21.  Kyle Brotzman, 2008 Boise State (86)
22.  Colt David, 2007 LSU (85)
23.  Kyle Brotzman, 2007 Boise State (83)
24.  Chris Hetland, 2006 Florida (82)
25.  Mark Ingram, 2009 Alabama (72)
25.  Justin Vincent, 2003 LSU (72)
25.  Titus Young, 2010 Boise State (72)
28.  Lee Marks, 2004 Boise State (68)
29.  Jeremy Childs, 2008 Boise State (66)
30.  Anthony Montgomery, 2005 Boise State (65)
31.  Jamaal Charles, 2005 Texas (60)
32.  Chris Rainey, 2008 Florida (56)
33.  Jacob Hester, 2007 LSU (54)
33.  Ian Johnson, 2005 Boise State (54)

Saturday, July 30, 2011

Week 11 Simulated Football League Standings

We are now down to just one week left in the Simulation Football League.  WhatIf Sports allows you to match up teams from different years or different eras.  Unfortunately, the college football section only allows you to go back to 1996 but it suits this purpose.


The object was to look at the last 10 years and determine two things:  1)  How good, really, is Boise State and 2)  Who is the best college football team in the last 10 years?  There have been several interesting results along the way.  Several Boise State teams that you wouldn't think of have defeated the so-called "national champions", many in the same year that that "national champion" was annointed.  


In this format set up by WhatIf Sports, the 10 Bronco teams are in the Boise State Division while the 10 "national championship" teams are in the Championship Division.  The schedule corresponded to a regular season in college football, with nine games against teams in your division and three games at random against teams from the other division.    At the conclusion of next week's games, the top two teams in each division will enter the SFL Playoffs.


The 2009 Boise State team and the 2001 Miami of Florida team have clinched regular season titles and will meet the #2 team in the opposite division in the opening round of the playoffs in two weeks.  The fight now, then, is for #2.  In the Boise State division, the 2006 and 2010 teams are still in the hunt while the 2004 USC team and the 2005 Texas team are battling for the other playoff spot.


Here are the Standings headed into the final week of the regular season.  


Boise State Division
1.    2009 Boise State 10-1 (477 points, 326 allowed)
2.    2010 Boise State 8-3 (448-283)
3.    2006 Boise State 7-4 (367-289)
4.    2002 Boise State 5-6 (398-384)
4.    2003 Boise State 5-6 (313-401)
4.    2008 Boise State 5-6 (348-416)
7.    2007 Boise State 4-7 (316-361)
7.    2004 Boise State 4-7 (315-375)
7.    2001 Boise State 4-7 (269-380)
10.  2005 Boise State 2-9 (225-425)

Championship Division
1.    2001 Miami of Florida 11-0 (513-175)
2.    2004 USC 8-3 (469-264)
2.    2005 Texas 8-3 (340-263)
4.    2009 Alabama 7-4 (277-163)
5.    2008 Florida 6-5 (351-412)
6.    2006 Florida 5-6 (238-287)
7.    2007 LSU 4-7 (209-295)
8.    2002 Ohio State 3-8 (215-287)
8.    2003 LSU 3-8 (221-303)
10.  2010 Auburn 2-9 (223-347)